Victorian election results to be finalised as counting resumes in wake of Labor victory

Home Politics Victorian election results to be finalised as counting resumes in wake of Labor victory
Victorian election results to be finalised as counting resumes in wake of Labor victory

Counting resumes in Victoria today to determine the final make-up of the state’s parliament, in the wake of a Labor victory which has left the Coalition fractured and the future of the Liberal Party uncertain.

Re-elected Premier Daniel Andrews has promised to make the first 100 days of his third term about “getting things done”.

For the sixth time in the space of seven election cycles, and for the third time under Mr Andrews, Victorian Labor recorded a win on Saturday night.

By Monday morning, the ABC’s election computer projected Labor securing at least 52 lower house seats, comfortably more than the 45 needed to form government.

For voters, much will remain the same — the government will continue to build the Suburban Rail Loop, remove level crossings, recruit more healthcare workers and attempt to fix the ailing health system.

Key changes promised by Labor in the lead-up to the vote include more kinders, cheaper V/Line fares, free TAFE and the re-establishment of a renewables-only State Electricity Commission.

The state debt will remain a concern, with the projected surplus for 2025-26 relying in part on raiding contingency funds.

Before counting resumed on Monday morning, six seats remained in doubt. A seventh, Narracan, is deferred after the death of the Nationals candidate in the seat.

South-east of Melbourne, Labor is ahead in the seat of Bass. And in Hastings, where the ABC initially projected a win on Saturday night, Labor’s celebrity candidate Paul Mercurio was slightly ahead in the count.

In the new electorate of Pakenham on Melbourne’s outer eastern fringe, a handful of votes separated the Labor and Liberal candidates.

Coalition’s future uncertain on multiple fronts

While the polls had Labor ahead throughout the campaign, the prevailing wisdom was that the Liberal Party would claw back the seats it lost in the 2018 “Danslide”.

Labor suffered double-digit swings away from the party in Greenvale, Mill Park, St Albans, Yan Yean, Thomastown and Kororoit, but the swings were not big enough for the seats to fall.

Nepean is the only seat the Liberal Party appears to have gained from Labor.  

A man in his 30's wearing a suit delivers a speech from the lectern.
Former professional tennis player Sam Groth seized Nepean for the Liberal Party.(ABC News: Kristian Silva)

The Nationals’ comparative successes have prompted some within the junior Coalition partner to call for a rethink of their relationship.

The Nationals’ leader Peter Walsh has said any public commentary about a split is not appropriate, but the party has removed itself from the Coalition in the past.

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